Everton vs Liverpool prediction: Who will win the Merseyside derby?

Everton vs Liverpool prediction: Who will win the Merseyside derby?

For the first time since 1989, Everton head into the Merseyside derby above their neighbours in the table. The Toffees have won their opening four fixtures, while champions Liverpool suffered a shock 7-2 defeat at Aston Villa last time out.

The Reds, though, are on a club record run of 22 unbeaten matches in all competitions against Everton.

Jurgen Klopp‘s side have also won seven and drawn four matches against their city rivals since the German took charge in 2015.

“I have lost enough derbies in my life to know how it feels so I don’t need that experience to be honest,” said Klopp.

“We always respected Everton and that is what we do this time, for a good reason because they are a good team and this season they look especially good.

READ MORE: Sadio Mane coronavirus: Will Sadio Mane play against Everton?

“But the 237th Merseyside derby (203rd in the league) isn’t quite as cut and dried as all that.

“Goodison derby matches – with or without spectators – have followed a recent trend.

“Seven of the last eight at Goodison Park have been draws. Four of the last six have finished goalless – a sequence that was heading for five out of six until Sadio Mane’s 94th minute winner in 2016. The other in that list ended 1-1.

“So bookies thepools.com surprisingly have Under 2.5 goals as a 41% chance. While another goalless draw is given just a 5% chance of happening for the fourth time in succession at Goodison.

“The odds makers have clearly been seduced by the goal-laden start to the Premier League season – a record breaking average of 3.79 goals per game – while Everton and Liverpool have put even that statistic in the shade!


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“Liverpool’s four matches have averaged an incredible 5.5 goals per game, with Everton not far behind on 4.25.

Over 3.5 goals is given a 43.5% chance of happening and Over 4.5 a 26% possibility. And the likeliest scorer of the first of those anticipated goals is Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

“He has opened the scoring in three of his four Premier League starts this season, a Carabao Cup tie against West Ham and on his England debut against Wales – while in the PL match where he didn’t open the scoring, against West Brom, he still scored Everton’s first goal to equalise Grady Diangana’s opener.

“He’s given a 16% chance of opening the scoring.”

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Published at Fri, 16 Oct 2020 23:18:00 +0000