The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine also said that 20,000 could die in Italy, 19,000 in Spain and 5,000 in France. The IHME has claimed that 151,680 people could die from the disease across Europe. And the study found Britain could experience 66,000 COVID-19 deaths by July.
Outbreaks in Italy and Spain are beginning to slow down, yet the UK is not set to peak until the middle of April, which is why its numbers are thought to be higher in the study.
More than 17,000 people have died in Italy and 14,000 in Spain so far.
In the last 24 hours, 786 patients have died in the UK bringing the total to 6,159.
IHME used age mortality breakdowns and intensive care bed capacities in their research for the study.
The study also took into account the factor of social distancing, which the UK was slower to implement than other countries.
The same study has found that they expect the US to suffer 81,766 deaths.
The research organisation said: “New COVID-19 estimates find that, among European nations, the peak daily death rate from the pandemic will occur during the third week of April, with the pandemic spreading from Southern Europe.”
IHME Director Christopher Murray said: “We are expecting a foreboding few weeks for people in many parts of Europe.”
They also found that the Netherlands, Ireland, Austria, and Luxembourg are soon to peak with their pandemic wave.
“Each nation’s trajectory will change -– and dramatically for the worse -– if people ease up on social distancing or relax other precautions.”
Mr Murray said mass testing would be a part of the solution to ensure there was not a second wave of the disease.
He added: ”To decrease the risk of a second wave in places where the first wave is controlled by robust social distancing, governments would need to consider mass testing, contact tracing, and quarantines for those infected until a vaccination is available, mass produced, and distributed widely.“
Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been in hospital suffering from COVID-19.
Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab has been put in charge of the country in his absence.
In the press briefing today, Mr Raab wished the Prime Minister well and said: “If there is one thing I know about this Prime Minister, he is a fighter.”
Published at Tue, 07 Apr 2020 17:10:00 +0000