The former boss of polling company Ipsos MORI, Mark Diffley and Sir John Curtice, professor of Politics at the University of Strathclyd, have both highlighted a shift in opinion in recent days. In a Panelbase poll of 1,026 voters in Scotland for the Sunday Times conducted between June 30 to Friday 3, 55 percent would vote yes if a second independence vote were held. With the surge of support in mind, Express.co.uk asked readers, “After shock warning, are you worried about the break-up of the UK?”
In response, 7,423 out of 9,330 said they were not worried about the potential break up of the UK.
A further 1,818 voted ‘yes’ while 89 were not sure.
Commenting on the poll, one person said: “Scotland will go broke without the rest of the UK.
“Military bases would move south, they have no independent banking system, no UK money for their free universities, no NHS.
Nicola Sturgeon: Are you concerned?
Nicola Sturgeon: The First Minister pushed for a second vote before the crisis
“Export tariffs, border controls. Bring it on, it will save the rest of the UK a fortune.”
Another said: “Sorry to point this out but Scotland is an economic basket case and has been for over 300 years.
“The Scottish economy only survives because it is propped up by the English taxpayer.
“Let the EU have them.”
Nicola Sturgeon: Boris refused a second vote
Another said: “Scotland can go it alone but not with English money.
“They should not be offered a single penny.
“If they want to be a poor Greece or Macedonia then so be it but they will be back once they realise the grass is not greener on the other side once there is no money in the pot which will be about a day into independence.”
The surge in support has come as some north of the border regard the First Minister as handling the coronavirus pandemic relatively well.
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Nicola Sturgeon: Scotland voted overwhelmingly to stay in the EU
Nicola Sturgeon: The recent poll showed support to leave the Union
Before the pandemic, Ms Sturgeon had pushed for a second due to the UK leaving the EU.
In 2014, the “once in a lifetime result” saw the ‘no’ vote win out with 55 percent to 45.
Ms Sturgeon has argued, however, the EU referendum has now changed the parameters of the initial vote.
In 2016, Scotland voted 62-38 to Remain in the EU referendum vote while the UK voted 52-48 to Leave.
A previous survey
Mr Johnson, however, has rejected any new referendum calls from Ms Sturgeon.
Indeed, due to the coronavirus pandemic, Ms Sturgeon herself has so far downplayed calls for a second referendum.
Despite Scotland having one of the highest proportions of COVID-related fatalities, Ms Sturgeon’s approval rating has surged.
In the data from Panelbase Ms Sturgeon’s approval rating had grown by 60 points.
Nicola Sturgeon: The First Minister’s approval has grown
In contrast, Mr Johnson’s own approval rating had dropped by 39.
Commenting on the chances of a second independence vote, Mr Curtice claimed he had never seen support for the Union look so shaky.
He said: “Never before have the foundations of public support for the Union looked so weak.
“Unsurprisingly, for many nationalists, the past three months have exemplified how Scotland could govern itself better as an independent, small country.
“More importantly, it may have persuaded some former unionists of the merits of that claim, too.”
This poll opened at 9.08amam on July 9 and was closed at 9.09pm.
Published at Thu, 09 Jul 2020 19:56:00 +0000