Despite the numbers showing Spain’s Socialist Party ahead in polls, they are still short of a majority – even if they secured support from their far-left allies Podemos again. The Socialists would win between 136 and 139 seats, according to the GADC3 poll of 2,000 people taken between April 9 to 15. Podemos would secure 28 to 32 seats, but even combined with the Socialists it falls short of wining the 176 seats necessary for an overall majority in the 350-seat parliament.
Vox could take 30 to 34 seats, according to the latest poll.
It would be the first time the party holds seats in parliament.
Spaniards will go to the voting booths on April 28 in the third general election in four years.
In total, all 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies will be up for election, as well as 208 of 266 seats in the Senate.
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez has said he will act with “strength and proportion” against any Catalan separatists who try to repeat their 2017 independence bid.
The Vox Party was spearheaded by Santiago Abascal.
Vox was founded six years ago by unhappy members of the conservative People’s Party and was previously viewed as a small group on the periphery.
The rise in Vox has stemmed from mainly the Catalan independence crisis, but also from culture wars over feminism, political correctness and re-centralisation.
Professor Manuel Arias Maldonado of the University of Malaga said Vox’s success is at the expense of the other conservative parties.
He told the BBC: “It should be noted that they do not display openly any Francoist imagery. They are not making gross mistakes.
“The big question [about the elections] is how strong will Vox be.
“There is the feeling that they could surpass expectations, despite the polls.
“But the main reason why Vox exists is Catalonia: it is a reaction to the unilateral secession attempt… that is where their strength comes from.”
Published at Wed, 17 Apr 2019 07:42:00 +0000